CRYPTO MARKET INTELLIGENCE ENGINE / TRENCHES
Copy Test #4.
Forward wallet-persistence test. The Test 3 age ≥3m all-wallet control is preserved unchanged while wallet cohorts frozen from Test 3 are followed prospectively under the same execution rules.
EXPERIMENT STATUSCOMPLETEStarted: Oct 7, 2026, 3:00:09 p.m.Ends: Oct 10, 2026, 3:00:09 p.m.Updated: Oct 8, 2026, 6:06:46 p.m.Completed by: TARGETS_REACHED
OUT-OF-SAMPLE WALLET PERSISTENCE
Does trader-level edge persist into the next sample?
Five arms compare the unchanged all-wallet control with Test 3 positive, repeat-positive, robust-positive and repeat-negative wallet cohorts. The wallet lists are frozen before Test 4; token age, entry delay, exits and execution costs stay fixed.
SELECTIONTest 3 positive wallets · age ≥3m
Competitive net-0.0346 SOL-0.2%
Low tip+0.0934 SOL+0.5%
Competitive-0.0346 SOL-0.2%
Signals 1375Eligible 161Entries 40Wallet-cap rejects 0Open 0Closed 40Win rate +37.5%Avg hold 2.2mCost-killed 4
SELECTIONTest 3 robust-positive wallets · age ≥3m
Competitive net-0.0720 SOL-0.4%
Low tip+0.0560 SOL+0.3%
Competitive-0.0720 SOL-0.4%
Signals 1375Eligible 146Entries 40Wallet-cap rejects 0Open 0Closed 40Win rate +40.0%Avg hold 1.8mCost-killed 3
CONTROLAge ≥3m · all wallets
Competitive net-0.4052 SOL-2.0%
Low tip-0.2772 SOL-1.4%
Competitive-0.4052 SOL-2.0%
Signals 1375Eligible 757Entries 40Wallet-cap rejects 0Open 0Closed 40Win rate +37.5%Avg hold 1.9mCost-killed 2
SELECTIONTest 3 repeat-positive wallets · age ≥3m
Competitive net-0.4175 SOL-2.0%
Low tip-0.2895 SOL-1.4%
Competitive-0.4175 SOL-2.0%
Signals 1375Eligible 149Entries 40Wallet-cap rejects 0Open 0Closed 40Win rate +37.5%Avg hold 2.0mCost-killed 3
SELECTIONTest 3 repeat-negative wallets · age ≥3m
Competitive net-0.5991 SOL-2.9%
Low tip-0.4711 SOL-2.3%
Competitive-0.5991 SOL-2.9%
Signals 1375Eligible 332Entries 40Wallet-cap rejects 0Open 0Closed 40Win rate +32.5%Avg hold 1.9mCost-killed 4
0.5 SOL ECONOMICS
Can the edge survive execution?
Every closed trade is recomputed under two fixed-cost assumptions. This isolates strategy quality from the choice of transaction tip.
BEHAVIOR PROFILES
Who are we actually copying?
Holding time, buy size, repeat-buy behavior and live copyability are retained so strategy performance can be interpreted by trader type.
FASTACTbvb…Hy831
Copyability37HIGH
Median hold 50sMedian buy 0.10 SOLRepeat buys +96.5%
FAST136Mvv…Y4FKt
Copyability33HIGH
Median hold 1.3mMedian buy 1.64 SOLRepeat buys +100.0%
UNKNOWNEqBQho…64qvv
Copyability—LOW
Median hold —Median buy —Repeat buys —
UNKNOWN4y2T1g…jdvE1
Copyability—LOW
Median hold —Median buy —Repeat buys —
UNKNOWN36MapN…VDPf1
Copyability—LOW
Median hold —Median buy —Repeat buys —
UNKNOWNHWaKJX…gseXF
Copyability—LOW
Median hold —Median buy 0.02 SOLRepeat buys +95.2%
UNKNOWN3kfyze…YtYM8
Copyability—LOW
Median hold —Median buy —Repeat buys —
UNKNOWN5NquBK…sZ1PV
Copyability—LOW
Median hold —Median buy —Repeat buys —
UNKNOWN8H14bK…RAnHR
Copyability—LOW
Median hold —Median buy —Repeat buys —
UNKNOWN6Cpipy…5s8kF
Copyability—LOW
Median hold —Median buy —Repeat buys —
UNKNOWN8deJ9x…EXhU6
Copyability—LOW
Median hold —Median buy 19.35 SOLRepeat buys +50.0%
UNKNOWNHB3Geb…9q5ks
Copyability—LOW
Median hold —Median buy 1.57 SOLRepeat buys +89.9%
UNKNOWNEkEeCw…B7AMB
Copyability—LOW
Median hold —Median buy 5.00 SOLRepeat buys +84.2%
UNKNOWN6rq8QH…qcMhe
Copyability—LOW
Median hold —Median buy 1.50 SOLRepeat buys +77.8%
UNKNOWN215nhc…EgQjP
Copyability—LOW
Median hold —Median buy 14.70 SOLRepeat buys +0.0%
UNKNOWNAH39Bn…9SKfL
Copyability—LOW
Median hold —Median buy 3.71 SOLRepeat buys +0.0%
UNKNOWNGsFuck…vvWxk
Copyability—LOW
Median hold —Median buy 138.38 SOLRepeat buys +0.0%
UNKNOWNG3gZWq…n4WSS
Copyability—LOW
Median hold —Median buy 3.01 SOLRepeat buys +0.0%
UNKNOWN5ijWW5…rJrk7
Copyability—LOW
Median hold —Median buy 0.28 SOLRepeat buys +0.0%
UNKNOWN64jMge…jbfsP
Copyability—LOW
Median hold —Median buy 0.23 SOLRepeat buys +100.0%
UNKNOWN9BMzTp…FQdLU
Copyability—LOW
Median hold —Median buy 8.52 SOLRepeat buys +100.0%
UNKNOWNCb6DNh…va4da
Copyability—LOW
Median hold —Median buy 0.08 SOLRepeat buys +0.0%
No wallet, private key or live transaction path is used by this lab. The purpose is to discover which copy behavior remains economic after observed delay, adverse slippage, platform fees, Pump fees and tips.